DENBroncos
1-0
6
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
78°F
15 mph
7
JAXJaguars
1-0
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
78°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
6
0
0
6
Jaguars
0
7
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
176
Total Plays
74
40
Yards / Play
4.8
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.23
Passing Yards
--
109
Comp/Att
23/39(59%)
8/16(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.15
-0.11
Rushing Yards
106
67
Rush Attempts
35
22
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
8
Passing 1st downs
13
4
Rushing 1st downs
4
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
33%
10%
3rd Down Conversions
6
1
3rd Down Attempts
18
10
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-2.52
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-2.65
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
57
85
Penalty EPA
-3.38
-5.96
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
7
Yards / Game
4
11
Passing Yards / Game
31
9
Rushing Yards / Game
5
11
EPA
EPA / Play
8
14
EPA / Pass
8
20
EPA / Rush
11
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
23
Interceptions / Game
24
17
Fumbles / Game
3
10
Turnover EPA / Game
13
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
24
4th Down Efficiency
11
17
RZ Efficiency
29
1
Jaguars Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
13
Yards / Game
21
5
Passing Yards / Game
18
23
Rushing Yards / Game
15
4
EPA
EPA / Play
22
18
EPA / Pass
18
13
EPA / Rush
19
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
30
Interceptions / Game
4
28
Fumbles / Game
11
28
Turnover EPA / Game
21
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
6
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
31
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U