DENBroncos
4-8
24
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
68°F
6 mph
27
JAXJaguars
11-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
68°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
7
3
7
24
Jaguars
0
17
0
10
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
358
265
Total Plays
60
59
Yards / Play
6.0
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.06
Passing Yards
267
104
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
11/25(44%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.46
-0.31
Rushing Yards
90
161
Rush Attempts
27
32
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
47%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.94
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-7
-11
Sack EPA
-0.92
-3.42
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
83
--
Penalty EPA
-8.42
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
12
3
Passing Yards / Game
15
6
Rushing Yards / Game
13
6
EPA
EPA / Play
11
4
EPA / Pass
15
4
EPA / Rush
13
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
21
Interceptions / Game
16
12
Fumbles / Game
13
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
6
4th Down Efficiency
15
3
RZ Efficiency
23
22
Jaguars Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
12
Yards / Game
4
6
Passing Yards / Game
13
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
18
EPA
EPA / Play
5
15
EPA / Pass
4
10
EPA / Rush
3
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
23
Interceptions / Game
2
19
Fumbles / Game
4
25
Turnover EPA / Game
30
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
5
4th Down Efficiency
17
16
RZ Efficiency
18
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
9-1
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U