DENBroncos
0-3
37
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
6 mph
28
NYJJets
0-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
14
7
13
37
Jets
7
6
3
6
22
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
359
321
Total Plays
63
75
Yards / Play
5.7
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.10
Passing Yards
--
192
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
25/45(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.3
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.33
Rushing Yards
117
129
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
7
2
3rd Down %
50%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
19
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.08
--
Sacks
--
6
Sack Yards
--
-54
Sack EPA
--
-12.62
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
94
118
Penalty EPA
-11.97
-12.03
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+0
Home nfelo
1,341
Away nfelo
1,453
Home Field
+6.2
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-2.3
Net QB Adjustment
+105.9
Home QB Adjustment
-3.9
Away QB Adjustment
-109.8
Market Regression
+43.7
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
B. Rypien
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-109.8
No recent game data available
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-3.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
24
24
Passing Yards / Game
29
15
Rushing Yards / Game
13
12
EPA
EPA / Play
31
24
EPA / Pass
30
29
EPA / Rush
26
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
9
Interceptions / Game
32
23
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
1
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
23
4th Down Efficiency
32
5
RZ Efficiency
27
14
Jets Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
25
Yards / Game
32
20
Passing Yards / Game
25
27
Rushing Yards / Game
22
25
EPA
EPA / Play
32
20
EPA / Pass
32
14
EPA / Rush
28
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
20
Interceptions / Game
23
23
Fumbles / Game
5
28
Turnover EPA / Game
19
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
12
4th Down Efficiency
30
12
RZ Efficiency
32
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Jets
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U