DENBroncos
3-2
13
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
6 mph
11
NYJJets
0-5
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
10
0
0
3
13
Jets
6
0
3
0
9
Spread
+7
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
246
82
Total Plays
57
57
Yards / Play
4.3
1.4
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.19
Passing Yards
168
-10
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
9/17(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
-0.6
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-1.22
Rushing Yards
78
92
Rush Attempts
26
31
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
8
Passing 1st downs
9
2
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
33%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
50%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-2.98
--
Sacks
1
9
Sack Yards
-6
-55
Sack EPA
-0.91
-13.31
Penalties
6
2
Penalty Yards
37
15
Penalty EPA
-6.20
-2.01
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model72.0%
Spread Pick
Jets+7.0
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-125
Home nfelo
1,423
Away nfelo
1,562
Home Field
+14.4
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+14.4
Net QB Adjustment
-0.3
Home QB Adjustment
+9.5
Away QB Adjustment
+9.8
Market Regression
+0.8
Final Difference
-164.5
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
B. Nix
Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+9.8
J. Fields
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+9.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
27
Yards / Game
13
20
Passing Yards / Game
27
14
Rushing Yards / Game
11
23
EPA
EPA / Play
20
28
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
14
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
2
Interceptions / Game
21
32
Fumbles / Game
2
30
Turnover EPA / Game
24
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
13
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
15
13
Jets Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
3
Yards / Game
29
3
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
4
4
EPA
EPA / Play
23
4
EPA / Pass
27
2
EPA / Rush
20
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
31
Interceptions / Game
6
22
Fumbles / Game
29
17
Turnover EPA / Game
12
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
1
4th Down Efficiency
20
5
RZ Efficiency
23
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Jets
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U