DENBroncos
5-9
17
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
07
DETLions
8-6
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
0
10
7
17
Lions
0
0
0
7
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
369
274
Total Plays
66
56
Yards / Play
5.6
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.14
Passing Yards
148
242
Comp/Att
22/29(76%)
21/39(54%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.11
Rushing Yards
204
32
Rush Attempts
36
12
Yards / Rush
5.7
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
16
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
12
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
43%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.85
--
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-6
-25
Sack EPA
-2.34
-4.86
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
40
78
Penalty EPA
-2.53
-5.62
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
16
Yards / Game
12
20
Passing Yards / Game
15
30
Rushing Yards / Game
13
15
EPA
EPA / Play
11
12
EPA / Pass
15
18
EPA / Rush
13
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
1
Interceptions / Game
16
17
Fumbles / Game
13
6
Turnover EPA / Game
23
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
25
4th Down Efficiency
15
6
RZ Efficiency
23
9
Lions Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
12
Yards / Game
20
6
Passing Yards / Game
10
15
Rushing Yards / Game
28
18
EPA
EPA / Play
20
15
EPA / Pass
16
10
EPA / Rush
22
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
23
Interceptions / Game
8
19
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
28
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
5
4th Down Efficiency
22
16
RZ Efficiency
11
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U