DENBroncos
1-1
17
TBD
Gillette Stadium
68°F
12 mph
7
NEPatriots
2-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
68°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
10
0
7
17
Patriots
0
0
0
7
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
400
370
Total Plays
64
76
Yards / Play
6.3
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.06
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
31/55(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.09
Rushing Yards
144
50
Rush Attempts
34
21
Yards / Rush
4.2
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
10
18
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
44%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
52
78
Penalty EPA
-7.01
-8.26
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
2
Yards / Game
21
10
Passing Yards / Game
27
30
Rushing Yards / Game
8
5
EPA
EPA / Play
17
6
EPA / Pass
23
5
EPA / Rush
9
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
24
Interceptions / Game
20
4
Fumbles / Game
17
12
Turnover EPA / Game
12
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
10
4th Down Efficiency
12
2
RZ Efficiency
11
3
Patriots Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
6
Yards / Game
11
15
Passing Yards / Game
16
14
Rushing Yards / Game
14
12
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
6
10
EPA / Rush
11
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
20
Interceptions / Game
10
15
Fumbles / Game
25
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
13
4th Down Efficiency
1
5
RZ Efficiency
3
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U