DENBroncos
4-3
28
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
9 mph
38
OAKRaiders
5-1
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
3
6
16
28
Raiders
7
14
7
10
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
370
356
Total Plays
68
64
Yards / Play
5.4
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.36
Passing Yards
249
--
Comp/Att
26/40(65%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.27
+0.58
Rushing Yards
121
114
Rush Attempts
24
30
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
27
Passing 1st downs
18
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
36%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
9
Red Zone %
50%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.50
-5.13
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-24
--
Sack EPA
-4.27
--
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
71
93
Penalty EPA
-6.70
-9.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
19
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
24
23
Rushing Yards / Game
10
22
EPA
EPA / Play
14
24
EPA / Pass
18
14
EPA / Rush
11
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
28
Interceptions / Game
18
17
Fumbles / Game
8
21
Turnover EPA / Game
18
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
2
4th Down Efficiency
20
23
RZ Efficiency
8
9
Raiders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
21
Yards / Game
7
8
Passing Yards / Game
4
6
Rushing Yards / Game
18
6
EPA
EPA / Play
1
18
EPA / Pass
2
19
EPA / Rush
6
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
12
Interceptions / Game
1
8
Fumbles / Game
14
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
6
4th Down Efficiency
5
13
RZ Efficiency
3
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Raiders
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U