nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. broncos @ ravens week 8, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

DEN logo
DENBroncos
5-2
6
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
67°F
12 mph
26
BALRavens
3-3
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
67°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
0
3
0
6
Ravens
0
9
0
17
26

Game Statistics

General
Broncos logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
194
277
Total Plays
60
66
Yards / Play
3.2
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.41
-0.07
Passing Yards
90
126
Comp/Att
16/31(52%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
2.9
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.66
-0.15
Rushing Yards
104
151
Rush Attempts
27
37
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
Broncos logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
12
16
Passing 1st downs
4
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
27%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
17
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Broncos logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.87
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-24
-11
Sack EPA
-6.07
-3.02
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
49
62
Penalty EPA
-8.88
-8.65

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DEN logo
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Broncos Offense vs Ravens Defense
Broncos logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
10
7
Yards / Game
7
3
Passing Yards / Game
31
6
Rushing Yards / Game
1
8

EPA

EPA / Play
10
1
EPA / Pass
15
1
EPA / Rush
3
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
12
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
2
6
Turnover EPA / Game
22
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
2
4th Down Efficiency
28
2
RZ Efficiency
7
14
Ravens Offense vs Broncos Defense
Ravens logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
8
12
Yards / Game
21
5
Passing Yards / Game
28
3
Rushing Yards / Game
2
6

EPA

EPA / Play
22
14
EPA / Pass
26
15
EPA / Rush
18
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
27
Interceptions / Game
24
32
Fumbles / Game
31
13
Turnover EPA / Game
8
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
4
4th Down Efficiency
4
18
RZ Efficiency
29
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DEN logo

Broncos

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
7
W
W
P
12/22
-12
L
L
P
12/29
30
W
W
P
09/07
20
W
W
P
09/14
24
W
W
P
09/22
21
W
W
P
09/28
4
W
L
P
10/05
-1
L
W
P
10/12
3
W
L
P
10/19
-8
L
L
P
BAL logo

Ravens

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/08
-12
L
L
P
12/15
4
W
W
P
12/22
-1
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
W
P
09/07
-19
L
L
P
09/14
20
W
W
P
09/21
14
W
W
P
09/28
-7
L
L
P
10/12
8
W
W
P
10/19
-8
L
L
P