DENBroncos
11-5
3
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
22°F
20 mph
21
BALRavens
12-4
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
22°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
3
0
0
3
Ravens
0
14
7
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
177
240
Total Plays
61
55
Yards / Play
2.9
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.31
-0.04
Passing Yards
135
118
Comp/Att
18/38(47%)
9/15(60%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.28
+0.00
Rushing Yards
42
122
Rush Attempts
18
38
Yards / Rush
2.3
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.40
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
13
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
19%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.95
--
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-43
-12
Sack EPA
-5.90
-4.05
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
33
30
Penalty EPA
-3.88
-2.70
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
1
Yards / Game
2
2
Passing Yards / Game
2
10
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1
EPA
EPA / Play
6
1
EPA / Pass
6
1
EPA / Rush
4
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
13
Interceptions / Game
4
1
Fumbles / Game
16
1
Turnover EPA / Game
19
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
2
4th Down Efficiency
12
4
RZ Efficiency
9
1
Ravens Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
21
Yards / Game
18
20
Passing Yards / Game
26
23
Rushing Yards / Game
6
7
EPA
EPA / Play
19
15
EPA / Pass
22
15
EPA / Rush
16
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
23
Interceptions / Game
13
2
Fumbles / Game
1
7
Turnover EPA / Game
29
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
6
4th Down Efficiency
31
9
RZ Efficiency
28
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U