DENBroncos
6-3
34
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
013
NOSaints
4-5
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
20
1
0
7
28
Saints
0
13
0
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
389
411
Total Plays
60
76
Yards / Play
6.5
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.22
Passing Yards
--
362
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
34/60(57%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.36
-0.20
Rushing Yards
165
49
Rush Attempts
31
14
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
33%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-22.83
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-15
Sack EPA
--
-3.15
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
82
79
Penalty EPA
-9.45
-8.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
26
Yards / Game
4
32
Passing Yards / Game
31
18
Rushing Yards / Game
5
29
EPA
EPA / Play
8
23
EPA / Pass
8
24
EPA / Rush
11
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
12
Interceptions / Game
24
25
Fumbles / Game
3
1
Turnover EPA / Game
13
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
17
4th Down Efficiency
11
32
RZ Efficiency
29
14
Saints Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
13
Yards / Game
15
5
Passing Yards / Game
5
23
Rushing Yards / Game
25
4
EPA
EPA / Play
14
18
EPA / Pass
15
13
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
30
Interceptions / Game
14
28
Fumbles / Game
11
28
Turnover EPA / Game
10
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
6
4th Down Efficiency
14
7
RZ Efficiency
5
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U