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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. broncos @ texans week 15, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DEN logo
DENBroncos
6-7
13
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0
31
HOUTexans
6-7
HOU logo
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
6
7
0
13
Texans
7
3
7
14
31

Game Statistics

General
Broncos logo
Texans logo
Total Yards
308
358
Total Plays
64
58
Yards / Play
4.8
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.28
Passing Yards
236
--
Comp/Att
27/39(69%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.08
Rushing Yards
72
158
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.33
Downs & Conversions
Broncos logo
Texans logo
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
13
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
33%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Broncos logo
Texans logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.64
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-18
--
Sack EPA
-7.89
--
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
25
15
Penalty EPA
-5.07
-2.01

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DEN logo
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Broncos Offense vs Texans Defense
Broncos logo
Texans logo

Total

Points / Game
21
22
Yards / Game
10
24
Passing Yards / Game
3
29
Rushing Yards / Game
8
19

EPA

EPA / Play
15
28
EPA / Pass
11
25
EPA / Rush
10
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
26
Interceptions / Game
9
31
Fumbles / Game
24
11
Turnover EPA / Game
14
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
23
4th Down Efficiency
30
12
RZ Efficiency
21
18
Texans Offense vs Broncos Defense
Texans logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
12
28
Yards / Game
14
19
Passing Yards / Game
14
4
Rushing Yards / Game
21
30

EPA

EPA / Play
7
31
EPA / Pass
16
31
EPA / Rush
9
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
17
Interceptions / Game
28
24
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
3
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
26
4th Down Efficiency
2
31
RZ Efficiency
6
23

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DEN logo

Broncos

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/30
-18
L
L
P
10/07
-38
L
L
P
10/21
3
W
W
P
10/29
-6
L
L
P
11/04
-37
L
L
P
11/11
16
W
W
P
11/19
14
W
W
P
11/25
-3
L
L
P
12/02
-14
L
L
P
12/09
34
W
W
P
HOU logo

Texans

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/30
-10
L
L
P
10/07
3
W
L
P
10/14
-20
L
L
P
10/21
-2
L
L
P
10/28
-25
L
L
P
11/04
7
W
W
P
11/18
13
W
W
P
11/25
-10
L
L
P
12/02
-8
L
L
P
12/09
14
W
W
P