CLEBrowns
4-2
21
TBD
Soldier Field
54°F
10 mph
27
CHIBears
5-1
TBD
Soldier Field
54°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
1
0
14
0
15
Bears
0
7
0
14
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
261
413
Total Plays
49
87
Yards / Play
5.3
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.04
Passing Yards
191
314
Comp/Att
14/23(61%)
30/50(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.12
Rushing Yards
70
99
Rush Attempts
23
32
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
29
Passing 1st downs
8
20
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
10%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.52
-17.79
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-20
-43
Sack EPA
-3.20
-16.57
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
80
55
Penalty EPA
-5.20
-5.27
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
2
Yards / Game
31
14
Passing Yards / Game
21
28
Rushing Yards / Game
31
2
EPA
EPA / Play
24
3
EPA / Pass
26
7
EPA / Rush
27
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
31
Interceptions / Game
23
9
Fumbles / Game
15
3
Turnover EPA / Game
13
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
9
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
23
12
Bears Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
15
Yards / Game
27
21
Passing Yards / Game
30
4
Rushing Yards / Game
16
28
EPA
EPA / Play
18
9
EPA / Pass
23
3
EPA / Rush
15
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
4
Interceptions / Game
15
1
Fumbles / Game
2
27
Turnover EPA / Game
15
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
15
4th Down Efficiency
15
9
RZ Efficiency
18
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U