CLEBrowns
4-11
22
TBD
Paycor Stadium
56°F
10 mph
14
CINBengals
8-7
TBD
Paycor Stadium
56°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
3
10
0
9
22
Bengals
7
0
0
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
271
Total Plays
59
63
Yards / Play
6.4
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.03
Passing Yards
--
156
Comp/Att
9/19(47%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.01
-0.10
Rushing Yards
264
115
Rush Attempts
40
25
Yards / Rush
6.6
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.23
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
36%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-0.31
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-19
Sack EPA
--
-6.99
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
69
66
Penalty EPA
-9.05
-7.44
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
28
Yards / Game
26
28
Passing Yards / Game
29
31
Rushing Yards / Game
20
24
EPA
EPA / Play
23
31
EPA / Pass
25
27
EPA / Rush
27
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
15
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
25
18
Turnover EPA / Game
3
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
28
4th Down Efficiency
28
29
RZ Efficiency
24
22
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
13
Yards / Game
13
15
Passing Yards / Game
8
15
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22
EPA
EPA / Play
7
21
EPA / Pass
7
16
EPA / Rush
11
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
13
Interceptions / Game
11
15
Fumbles / Game
3
27
Turnover EPA / Game
27
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
21
4th Down Efficiency
21
26
RZ Efficiency
5
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U