CLEBrowns
4-9
20
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
52°F
6 mph
23
DENBroncos
8-5
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
52°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Browns
0
10
0
10
0
20
Broncos
10
0
0
10
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
417
Total Plays
49
79
Yards / Play
5.6
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.05
Passing Yards
173
252
Comp/Att
8/21(38%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
7.0
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.05
Rushing Yards
102
165
Rush Attempts
26
40
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
28
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
18%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.00
-3.57
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-8
-17
Sack EPA
-1.29
-4.40
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
32
124
Penalty EPA
-4.00
-14.96
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
12
Yards / Game
26
5
Passing Yards / Game
29
3
Rushing Yards / Game
20
6
EPA
EPA / Play
23
14
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
27
Interceptions / Game
17
32
Fumbles / Game
25
13
Turnover EPA / Game
3
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
4
4th Down Efficiency
28
18
RZ Efficiency
24
6
Broncos Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
13
Yards / Game
7
15
Passing Yards / Game
31
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
22
EPA
EPA / Play
10
21
EPA / Pass
15
16
EPA / Rush
3
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
13
Interceptions / Game
20
15
Fumbles / Game
2
27
Turnover EPA / Game
22
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
21
4th Down Efficiency
28
26
RZ Efficiency
7
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U