CLEBrowns
3-5
20
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
45°F
8 mph
41
KCChiefs
8-0
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
45°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
3
14
3
0
20
Chiefs
14
13
7
7
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
199
438
Total Plays
51
72
Yards / Play
3.9
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.38
Passing Yards
119
350
Comp/Att
19/27(70%)
29/42(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
8.3
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.59
Rushing Yards
80
88
Rush Attempts
21
27
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
30
Passing 1st downs
7
19
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
27%
75%
3rd Down Conversions
3
12
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-2.13
-5.05
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-30
-18
Sack EPA
-5.25
-4.80
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
--
70
Penalty EPA
--
-6.26
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
22
Yards / Game
26
29
Passing Yards / Game
29
18
Rushing Yards / Game
20
30
EPA
EPA / Play
23
26
EPA / Pass
25
17
EPA / Rush
27
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
30
Interceptions / Game
17
4
Fumbles / Game
25
23
Turnover EPA / Game
3
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
28
10
RZ Efficiency
24
23
Chiefs Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
13
Yards / Game
3
15
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
11
22
EPA
EPA / Play
1
21
EPA / Pass
3
16
EPA / Rush
2
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
13
Interceptions / Game
2
15
Fumbles / Game
7
27
Turnover EPA / Game
32
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
21
4th Down Efficiency
1
26
RZ Efficiency
1
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U