CLEBrowns
0-2
24
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
16 mph
30
MIADolphins
0-2
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Browns
0
7
0
11
0
18
Dolphins
7
3
7
7
6
30
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
432
426
Total Plays
75
65
Yards / Play
5.8
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.07
Passing Yards
263
311
Comp/Att
24/39(62%)
25/39(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.02
-0.16
Rushing Yards
169
115
Rush Attempts
32
25
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
23
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
27%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.11
-14.17
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-18
-8
Sack EPA
-8.25
-2.39
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
91
67
Penalty EPA
-9.11
-3.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model78.2%
Spread Pick
Browns+10.0
Expected Value
+3.7%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+168
Home nfelo
1,460
Away nfelo
1,379
Home Field
+57.4
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+30.5
Home QB Adjustment
+7.0
Away QB Adjustment
-23.5
Market Regression
+51.2
Final Difference
222.3
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
C. Kessler
Proj. Value
-4.5
Team Elo Adj
-23.5
No recent game data available
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
+7.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
19
Yards / Game
30
29
Passing Yards / Game
16
11
Rushing Yards / Game
18
31
EPA
EPA / Play
27
19
EPA / Pass
27
12
EPA / Rush
23
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
21
Interceptions / Game
16
7
Fumbles / Game
27
11
Turnover EPA / Game
16
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
6
4th Down Efficiency
5
20
RZ Efficiency
15
22
Dolphins Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
30
Yards / Game
25
31
Passing Yards / Game
32
9
Rushing Yards / Game
14
30
EPA
EPA / Play
21
32
EPA / Pass
18
32
EPA / Rush
19
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
1
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
11
32
Turnover EPA / Game
13
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
30
4th Down Efficiency
32
29
RZ Efficiency
14
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
2-8
O/U
Dolphins
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U