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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. browns @ dolphins week 16, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CLE logo
CLEBrowns
3-11
7
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
55°F
0
10
MIADolphins
3-11
MIA logo
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
55°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
0
0
0
7
Dolphins
7
0
0
3
10

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Dolphins logo
Total Yards
285
280
Total Plays
58
71
Yards / Play
4.9
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.17
Passing Yards
143
164
Comp/Att
9/16(56%)
25/44(57%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
3.7
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.23
Rushing Yards
142
116
Rush Attempts
40
25
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Dolphins logo
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
5
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
42%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
19
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Dolphins logo
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-10.94
-5.74
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-18
-12
Sack EPA
-3.60
-6.49
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
25
35
Penalty EPA
-3.01
-6.14

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CLE logo
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Browns logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
27
20
Yards / Game
28
7
Passing Yards / Game
20
3
Rushing Yards / Game
23
30

EPA

EPA / Play
28
7
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
31
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
3
Interceptions / Game
25
19
Fumbles / Game
32
10
Turnover EPA / Game
4
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
4
4th Down Efficiency
23
29
RZ Efficiency
26
17
Dolphins Offense vs Browns Defense
Dolphins logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
28
24
Yards / Game
29
14
Passing Yards / Game
16
2
Rushing Yards / Game
31
32

EPA

EPA / Play
31
17
EPA / Pass
31
12
EPA / Rush
28
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
11
Interceptions / Game
32
19
Fumbles / Game
23
21
Turnover EPA / Game
1
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
14
4th Down Efficiency
14
14
RZ Efficiency
24
25

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CLE logo

Browns

1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/10
-11
L
L
P
10/17
17
W
W
P
10/24
-3
L
W
P
11/07
-14
L
L
P
11/14
-14
L
L
P
11/21
-3
L
L
P
11/28
-10
L
L
P
12/05
-27
L
L
P
12/12
-30
L
L
P
12/19
-21
L
L
P
MIA logo

Dolphins

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/10
-14
L
L
P
10/17
-7
L
L
P
10/24
17
W
W
P
11/01
-27
L
L
P
11/07
-1
L
L
P
11/21
-7
L
W
P
11/28
7
W
W
P
12/05
-10
L
L
P
12/12
-3
L
W
P
12/20
1
W
W
P