CLEBrowns
-
10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
77°F
8 mph
31
NYJJets
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
77°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
10
0
0
10
Jets
0
14
10
7
31
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
321
333
Total Plays
63
60
Yards / Play
5.1
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.26
+0.07
Passing Yards
217
--
Comp/Att
18/32(56%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.43
Rushing Yards
104
154
Rush Attempts
28
36
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
50%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-18.75
+1.53
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-10.83
--
Penalties
12
4
Penalty Yards
109
30
Penalty EPA
-12.79
+2.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model63.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+129
Home nfelo
1,466
Away nfelo
1,442
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+20.6
Home QB Adjustment
+12.4
Away QB Adjustment
-8.2
Market Regression
+13.3
Final Difference
96.9
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
J. McCown
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-8.2
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+12.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
7
Yards / Game
26
4
Passing Yards / Game
12
9
Rushing Yards / Game
22
2
EPA
EPA / Play
29
4
EPA / Pass
28
9
EPA / Rush
18
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
31
Interceptions / Game
11
5
Fumbles / Game
31
12
Turnover EPA / Game
6
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
3
4th Down Efficiency
26
21
RZ Efficiency
32
1
Jets Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
29
Yards / Game
10
28
Passing Yards / Game
15
2
Rushing Yards / Game
10
30
EPA
EPA / Play
17
29
EPA / Pass
9
30
EPA / Rush
15
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
2
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
24
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
21
4th Down Efficiency
25
27
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
1-9
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U