CLEBrowns
0-1
23
TBD
MetLife Stadium
72°F
3 mph
3
NYJJets
0-1
TBD
MetLife Stadium
72°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
6
10
7
0
23
Jets
0
3
0
0
3
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
375
262
Total Plays
59
59
Yards / Play
6.4
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.41
Passing Yards
305
169
Comp/Att
19/35(54%)
23/31(74%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.52
Rushing Yards
70
93
Rush Attempts
21
24
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
13
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
31%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.60
-4.26
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-20
-32
Sack EPA
-6.19
-6.01
Penalties
9
12
Penalty Yards
85
89
Penalty EPA
-8.56
-10.47
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model61.7%
Spread Pick
Jets+6.5
Expected Value
+10.0%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-22
Home nfelo
1,401
Away nfelo
1,466
Home Field
+77.7
Base HFA
+57.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-34.7
Home QB Adjustment
-36.5
Away QB Adjustment
-1.9
Market Regression
-67.2
Final Difference
-83.2
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.9
T. Siemian
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-36.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
16
Yards / Game
18
7
Passing Yards / Game
14
21
Rushing Yards / Game
12
2
EPA
EPA / Play
22
9
EPA / Pass
20
19
EPA / Rush
17
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
30
18
Fumbles / Game
2
20
Turnover EPA / Game
7
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
15
4th Down Efficiency
23
2
RZ Efficiency
13
13
Jets Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
20
Yards / Game
32
21
Passing Yards / Game
19
10
Rushing Yards / Game
31
29
EPA
EPA / Play
32
20
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
31
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
17
Interceptions / Game
23
10
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
16
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
12
4th Down Efficiency
27
4
RZ Efficiency
21
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Jets
1-9
SU
2-7-1
ATS
5-5
O/U