CLEBrowns
-
26
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
70°F
024
CARPanthers
-
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
17
3
6
26
Panthers
0
7
0
17
24
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
355
261
Total Plays
74
50
Yards / Play
4.8
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.03
Passing Yards
138
207
Comp/Att
18/34(53%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.22
-0.06
Rushing Yards
217
54
Rush Attempts
39
19
Yards / Rush
5.6
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.22
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
15
Passing 1st downs
7
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
44%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
11
Red Zone %
25%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.55
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-9
-28
Sack EPA
-1.38
-7.46
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
71
96
Penalty EPA
-6.92
-14.02
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+11
Home nfelo
1,396
Away nfelo
1,492
Home Field
+36.8
Base HFA
+36.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+69.8
Home QB Adjustment
-7.3
Away QB Adjustment
-77.0
Market Regression
+31.3
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
J. Brissett
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-77.0
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-7.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
17
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
14
30
Rushing Yards / Game
5
18
EPA
EPA / Play
15
15
EPA / Pass
20
23
EPA / Rush
4
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
24
Interceptions / Game
10
24
Fumbles / Game
11
20
Turnover EPA / Game
28
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
23
4th Down Efficiency
8
9
RZ Efficiency
20
18
Panthers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
19
Yards / Game
29
12
Passing Yards / Game
30
16
Rushing Yards / Game
10
25
EPA
EPA / Play
20
23
EPA / Pass
24
11
EPA / Rush
9
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
12
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
7
14
Turnover EPA / Game
19
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
17
4th Down Efficiency
7
9
RZ Efficiency
12
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Panthers
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U