CLEBrowns
2-2
17
TBD
Gillette Stadium
56°F
8 mph
34
NEPatriots
4-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
56°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
0
3
14
17
Patriots
10
10
0
8
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
353
412
Total Plays
67
70
Yards / Play
5.3
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.06
Passing Yards
261
--
Comp/Att
22/43(51%)
22/38(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.47
+0.14
Rushing Yards
92
147
Rush Attempts
21
32
Yards / Rush
4.4
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
23
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-22.64
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-26
--
Sack EPA
-3.82
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
40
52
Penalty EPA
-3.84
-7.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
1
Yards / Game
7
5
Passing Yards / Game
24
21
Rushing Yards / Game
10
9
EPA
EPA / Play
8
12
EPA / Pass
13
3
EPA / Rush
12
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
24
Interceptions / Game
24
6
Fumbles / Game
8
17
Turnover EPA / Game
8
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
4
4th Down Efficiency
21
25
RZ Efficiency
14
20
Patriots Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
21
Yards / Game
1
30
Passing Yards / Game
8
7
Rushing Yards / Game
11
27
EPA
EPA / Play
1
21
EPA / Pass
1
20
EPA / Rush
2
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
29
Interceptions / Game
3
13
Fumbles / Game
3
18
Turnover EPA / Game
32
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
7
4th Down Efficiency
4
9
RZ Efficiency
2
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U