CLEBrowns
1-1
42
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
71°F
8 mph
45
OAKRaiders
0-3
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
71°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Browns
3
14
11
14
0
42
Raiders
1
7
7
21
3
39
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
491
567
Total Plays
77
91
Yards / Play
6.4
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.08
Passing Yards
279
428
Comp/Att
21/42(50%)
35/59(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.06
Rushing Yards
212
139
Rush Attempts
33
29
Yards / Rush
6.4
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
27
Passing 1st downs
13
20
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
50%
57%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-18.79
-9.35
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-11
Sack EPA
-7.40
-4.94
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
55
65
Penalty EPA
-4.34
-7.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+23
Home nfelo
1,404
Away nfelo
1,437
Home Field
+66.8
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-10.8
Home QB Adjustment
+3.6
Away QB Adjustment
+14.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
+14.4
No recent game data available
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+3.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
32
Yards / Game
11
26
Passing Yards / Game
30
6
Rushing Yards / Game
13
30
EPA
EPA / Play
24
32
EPA / Pass
23
32
EPA / Rush
14
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
4
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
9
31
Turnover EPA / Game
14
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
30
4th Down Efficiency
29
28
RZ Efficiency
5
18
Raiders Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
21
Yards / Game
23
30
Passing Yards / Game
12
31
Rushing Yards / Game
25
28
EPA
EPA / Play
26
16
EPA / Pass
21
9
EPA / Rush
29
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
18
Interceptions / Game
8
3
Fumbles / Game
31
1
Turnover EPA / Game
5
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
6
4th Down Efficiency
28
27
RZ Efficiency
22
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
1-8-1
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Raiders
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
1-9
O/U