CLEBrowns
0-1
6
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
75°F
6 mph
14
BALRavens
0-1
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
75°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
3
3
0
0
6
Ravens
0
0
7
7
14
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
296
Total Plays
62
71
Yards / Play
4.2
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.11
Passing Yards
194
197
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.23
+0.15
Rushing Yards
65
99
Rush Attempts
20
36
Yards / Rush
3.3
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
19
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.32
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-39
-14
Sack EPA
-7.50
-4.05
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
33
41
Penalty EPA
-4.99
-2.34
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model72.4%
Spread Pick
Ravens-6.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+214
Home nfelo
1,564
Away nfelo
1,429
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+22.3
Home QB Adjustment
+4.7
Away QB Adjustment
-17.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
167.5
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
B. Weeden
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
-17.6
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+4.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
11
Yards / Game
18
12
Passing Yards / Game
8
4
Rushing Yards / Game
28
10
EPA
EPA / Play
25
10
EPA / Pass
25
13
EPA / Rush
14
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
4
Interceptions / Game
24
14
Fumbles / Game
9
29
Turnover EPA / Game
14
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
3
4th Down Efficiency
17
23
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
23
Yards / Game
28
9
Passing Yards / Game
12
9
Rushing Yards / Game
30
18
EPA
EPA / Play
23
17
EPA / Pass
21
12
EPA / Rush
31
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
3
Interceptions / Game
31
19
Fumbles / Game
9
24
Turnover EPA / Game
18
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
31
4th Down Efficiency
23
16
RZ Efficiency
31
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Ravens
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U