CLEBrowns
6-5
10
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
43°F
016
BALRavens
7-3
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
43°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
7
0
10
Ravens
3
3
7
3
16
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
262
303
Total Plays
57
77
Yards / Play
4.6
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.10
Passing Yards
222
155
Comp/Att
18/37(49%)
20/32(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.34
Rushing Yards
40
148
Rush Attempts
17
43
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
22
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
2
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
31%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
NaN%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.50
-12.55
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-25
-10
Sack EPA
-10.74
-2.27
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
45
54
Penalty EPA
-6.93
-7.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model66.0%
Spread Pick
Ravens-3.0
Expected Value
+9.5%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+159
Home nfelo
1,618
Away nfelo
1,529
Home Field
+35.3
Base HFA
+39.4
Divisional Adj
-17.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+35.2
Home QB Adjustment
+9.7
Away QB Adjustment
-25.5
Market Regression
-7.6
Final Difference
114.9
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-25.5
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+9.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
18
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
28
29
Rushing Yards / Game
4
2
EPA
EPA / Play
20
23
EPA / Pass
22
30
EPA / Rush
4
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
3
Interceptions / Game
14
27
Fumbles / Game
20
27
Turnover EPA / Game
21
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
3
4th Down Efficiency
30
23
RZ Efficiency
12
12
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
14
Yards / Game
6
3
Passing Yards / Game
6
8
Rushing Yards / Game
3
11
EPA
EPA / Play
16
21
EPA / Pass
20
11
EPA / Rush
8
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
6
Interceptions / Game
28
17
Fumbles / Game
13
30
Turnover EPA / Game
5
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
3
27
RZ Efficiency
13
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Ravens
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U