CLE logo
CLE
1-0
22
26
PIT
0-1
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
3
11
8
0
22
Steelers
1
9
3
1
14

Spread

PIT logo
+2

Total

OVER
39

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
412
255
Total Plays
83
54
Yards / Play
5.0
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.37
Passing Yards
210
200
Comp/Att
22/40(55%)
15/30(50%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.45
-0.45
Rushing Yards
202
55
Rush Attempts
37
22
Yards / Rush
5.5
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
20
9
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
31%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
67%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-20.44
-10.73
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-25
-22
Sack EPA
-13.87
-3.33
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
81
31
Penalty EPA
-8.39
-3.47

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
CLE logo
CLEFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0

Win Probability

Market54.7%
Model54.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-22
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,556
Home Field
+23.6
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
-19.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-23.0
Home QB Adjustment
-12.3
Away QB Adjustment
+10.7
Market Regression
-33.7
Final Difference
-32.8
Model Spread
+2.0

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Steelers Defense
Browns logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
12
8
Yards / Game
16
21
Passing Yards / Game
5
23
Rushing Yards / Game
13
21

EPA

EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
28
10
EPA / Rush
23
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
25
Interceptions / Game
32
13
Fumbles / Game
26
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
21
4th Down Efficiency
16
11
RZ Efficiency
15
6
Steelers Offense vs Browns Defense
Steelers logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
28
21
Yards / Game
25
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
2
Rushing Yards / Game
11
10

EPA

EPA / Play
25
1
EPA / Pass
24
1
EPA / Rush
20
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
11
Interceptions / Game
5
5
Fumbles / Game
8
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
1
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
25
32