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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. browns @ steelers week 5, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CLE logo
CLEBrowns
2-2
23
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
54°F
7 mph
34
PITSteelers
3-1
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
54°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
4
3
3
7
17
Steelers
14
13
7
0
34

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
296
401
Total Plays
57
64
Yards / Play
5.2
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.13
Passing Yards
198
--
Comp/Att
16/34(47%)
16/21(76%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.34
Rushing Yards
98
170
Rush Attempts
20
43
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
17
21
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
17%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.18
-6.76
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-12
--
Sack EPA
-6.34
--
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
54
63
Penalty EPA
-5.31
-7.26

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CLE logo
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Steelers Defense
Browns logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
27
6
Yards / Game
28
1
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
23
2

EPA

EPA / Play
28
5
EPA / Pass
27
3
EPA / Rush
31
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
21
Interceptions / Game
25
12
Fumbles / Game
32
18
Turnover EPA / Game
4
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
5
4th Down Efficiency
23
22
RZ Efficiency
26
7
Steelers Offense vs Browns Defense
Steelers logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
11
24
Yards / Game
13
14
Passing Yards / Game
26
2
Rushing Yards / Game
2
32

EPA

EPA / Play
12
17
EPA / Pass
12
12
EPA / Rush
14
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
11
Interceptions / Game
14
19
Fumbles / Game
9
21
Turnover EPA / Game
18
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
14
4th Down Efficiency
8
14
RZ Efficiency
25
25

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CLE logo

Browns

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/23
-7
L
L
P
11/30
-27
L
L
P
12/08
-6
L
L
P
12/14
-3
L
W
P
12/21
-35
L
L
P
12/28
8
W
W
P
09/12
17
W
W
P
09/19
-7
L
L
P
09/26
-17
L
L
P
10/03
4
W
W
P
PIT logo

Steelers

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/23
7
W
W
P
11/30
-4
L
L
P
12/07
20
W
W
P
12/14
-6
L
L
P
12/21
16
W
W
P
12/28
-3
L
W
P
09/12
3
W
L
P
09/19
-17
L
L
P
09/26
10
W
W
P
10/03
11
W
W
P