nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. browns @ steelers week 8, 2018

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CLE logo
CLEBrowns
2-4
18
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
47°F
11 mph
33
PITSteelers
3-2
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
47°F
11 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
6
0
6
6
18
Steelers
0
14
7
10
31

Spread

PIT logo
-8.5

Total

OVER
47.5

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
237
421
Total Plays
60
68
Yards / Play
4.0
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.01
Passing Yards
163
253
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
24/36(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.08
Rushing Yards
74
168
Rush Attempts
21
31
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
17
25
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
23%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.04
-8.67
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-17
-4
Sack EPA
-3.81
-1.94
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
52
60
Penalty EPA
-4.44
-8.32

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PIT logo
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5

Win Probability

Market76.8%
Model76.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+198
Home nfelo
1,568
Away nfelo
1,430
Home Field
+49.0
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
-26.4
Home Bye Adj
+16.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+10.9
Home QB Adjustment
+15.1
Away QB Adjustment
+4.1
Market Regression
+22.6
Final Difference
207.9
Model Spread
-8.5

Quarterbacks

B. Mayfield headshot

B. Mayfield

Proj. Value
-0.2
Team Elo Adj
+4.1
Value
Ptile
09/30
-3.5
25
10/07
-0.6
42
10/14
-9.6
4
10/21
-1.0
39
B. Roethlisberger headshot

B. Roethlisberger

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+15.1
Value
Ptile
12/10
11.0
99
12/17
2.8
72
12/25
3.1
75
01/14
13.8
100
09/09
-6.3
12
09/16
12.9
99
09/24
4.3
76
09/30
-0.1
46
10/07
3.5
72
10/14
6.6
87

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Steelers Defense
Browns logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
19
16
Yards / Game
11
6
Passing Yards / Game
30
27
Rushing Yards / Game
13
5

EPA

EPA / Play
24
20
EPA / Pass
23
18
EPA / Rush
14
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
29
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
14
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
9
4th Down Efficiency
29
12
RZ Efficiency
5
16
Steelers Offense vs Browns Defense
Steelers logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
5
21
Yards / Game
5
30
Passing Yards / Game
2
31
Rushing Yards / Game
31
28

EPA

EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
4
9
EPA / Rush
15
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
18
Interceptions / Game
26
3
Fumbles / Game
18
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
6
27
RZ Efficiency
2
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CLE logo

Browns

2-7-1
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/17
-17
L
L
U
12/24
-17
L
L
U
12/31
-4
L
W
O
09/09
0
T
W
O
09/16
-3
L
W
U
09/20
4
W
W
U
09/30
-3
L
L
O
10/07
3
W
W
U
10/14
-24
L
L
O
10/21
-3
L
W
U
PIT logo

Steelers

5-4-1
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/17
-3
L
L
U
12/25
28
W
W
U
12/31
4
W
L
O
01/14
-3
L
L
O
09/09
0
T
L
O
09/16
-5
L
L
O
09/24
3
W
W
O
09/30
-12
L
L
U
10/07
24
W
W
O
10/14
7
W
W
U