CLEBrowns
5-3
28
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
40°F
3 mph
31
PITSteelers
6-2
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
40°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
14
0
7
28
Steelers
3
6
7
15
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
163
403
Total Plays
53
75
Yards / Play
3.1
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.13
Passing Yards
--
244
Comp/Att
16/35(46%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+0.14
Rushing Yards
40
159
Rush Attempts
18
35
Yards / Rush
2.2
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.48
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
22
Passing 1st downs
10
17
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.66
-4.56
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-36
Sack EPA
--
-6.59
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
40
30
Penalty EPA
-3.43
-2.78
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
5
Yards / Game
7
1
Passing Yards / Game
24
2
Rushing Yards / Game
10
5
EPA
EPA / Play
8
9
EPA / Pass
13
1
EPA / Rush
12
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
5
Interceptions / Game
24
29
Fumbles / Game
8
10
Turnover EPA / Game
8
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
18
4th Down Efficiency
21
5
RZ Efficiency
14
21
Steelers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
21
Yards / Game
16
30
Passing Yards / Game
18
7
Rushing Yards / Game
5
27
EPA
EPA / Play
6
21
EPA / Pass
6
20
EPA / Rush
13
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
29
Interceptions / Game
13
13
Fumbles / Game
6
18
Turnover EPA / Game
26
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
7
4th Down Efficiency
10
9
RZ Efficiency
7
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U