TBBuccaneers
5-1
10
TBD
Candlestick Park
61°F
3 mph
15
SF49ers
1-5
TBD
Candlestick Park
61°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
3
0
7
10
49ers
0
6
6
3
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
208
Total Plays
59
58
Yards / Play
4.7
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.33
-0.27
Passing Yards
232
--
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
8/19(42%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.25
-0.53
Rushing Yards
43
158
Rush Attempts
20
39
Yards / Rush
2.1
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
9
Passing 1st downs
10
1
Rushing 1st downs
1
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
21%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.75
--
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-32
--
Sack EPA
-9.35
--
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
65
65
Penalty EPA
-5.83
-5.58
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
30
Yards / Game
24
32
Passing Yards / Game
23
32
Rushing Yards / Game
15
18
EPA
EPA / Play
21
24
EPA / Pass
22
32
EPA / Rush
15
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
5
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
10
29
Turnover EPA / Game
8
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
18
4th Down Efficiency
17
22
RZ Efficiency
15
16
49ers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
7
Yards / Game
32
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
5
EPA
EPA / Play
32
3
EPA / Pass
32
5
EPA / Rush
19
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
14
Interceptions / Game
27
13
Fumbles / Game
23
18
Turnover EPA / Game
15
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
7
4th Down Efficiency
6
13
RZ Efficiency
29
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U