TBBuccaneers
6-4
10
TBD
Soldier Field
37°F
15 mph
13
CHIBears
2-8
TBD
Soldier Field
37°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
3
7
0
10
Bears
3
1
0
3
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
225
243
Total Plays
55
63
Yards / Play
4.1
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.22
-0.17
Passing Yards
60
160
Comp/Att
12/19(63%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.66
-0.21
Rushing Yards
165
83
Rush Attempts
33
28
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
15
Passing 1st downs
5
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-15.17
-1.01
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-31
-5
Sack EPA
-6.85
-1.84
Penalties
1
4
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-3.94
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
18
Yards / Game
22
17
Passing Yards / Game
28
25
Rushing Yards / Game
9
19
EPA
EPA / Play
17
16
EPA / Pass
17
17
EPA / Rush
9
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
21
Interceptions / Game
4
27
Fumbles / Game
4
26
Turnover EPA / Game
27
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
13
4th Down Efficiency
24
29
RZ Efficiency
8
29
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
8
Yards / Game
24
9
Passing Yards / Game
23
22
Rushing Yards / Game
21
11
EPA
EPA / Play
26
5
EPA / Pass
27
4
EPA / Rush
18
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
13
5
Fumbles / Game
20
6
Turnover EPA / Game
13
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
7
4th Down Efficiency
20
22
RZ Efficiency
25
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U