TBBuccaneers
5-7
24
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
31
LACChargers
9-3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
7
7
10
24
Chargers
0
14
7
4
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
436
336
Total Plays
71
55
Yards / Play
6.1
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.06
Passing Yards
373
206
Comp/Att
36/50(72%)
17/23(74%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
9.0
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.18
Rushing Yards
63
130
Rush Attempts
18
30
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
19
8
Rushing 1st downs
1
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
44%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.22
-11.27
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-19
-14
Sack EPA
-6.67
-1.30
Penalties
12
4
Penalty Yards
111
40
Penalty EPA
-10.09
-1.58
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
10
Yards / Game
22
21
Passing Yards / Game
6
29
Rushing Yards / Game
29
3
EPA
EPA / Play
25
21
EPA / Pass
16
19
EPA / Rush
32
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
29
Interceptions / Game
21
6
Fumbles / Game
29
14
Turnover EPA / Game
3
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
3
20
RZ Efficiency
15
13
Chargers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
9
Yards / Game
10
4
Passing Yards / Game
10
1
Rushing Yards / Game
7
19
EPA
EPA / Play
3
8
EPA / Pass
3
4
EPA / Rush
4
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
9
Interceptions / Game
1
17
Fumbles / Game
3
16
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
11
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
2
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
8-2
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U