TBBuccaneers
2-2
35
TBD
FedExField
71°F
7 mph
13
WASCommanders
3-2
TBD
FedExField
71°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
7
7
15
29
Commanders
3
7
3
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
275
Total Plays
55
65
Yards / Play
6.9
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.38
-0.13
Passing Yards
--
207
Comp/Att
22/30(73%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.74
-0.18
Rushing Yards
111
68
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
19
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
60%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
10
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.39
Sacks
--
6
Sack Yards
--
-39
Sack EPA
--
-9.65
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
59
72
Penalty EPA
-1.98
-11.09
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
24
Yards / Game
9
25
Passing Yards / Game
21
7
Rushing Yards / Game
24
25
EPA
EPA / Play
19
28
EPA / Pass
10
22
EPA / Rush
25
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
4
Interceptions / Game
29
12
Fumbles / Game
9
8
Turnover EPA / Game
11
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
24
4th Down Efficiency
13
32
RZ Efficiency
9
30
Commanders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
3
Yards / Game
23
4
Passing Yards / Game
15
4
Rushing Yards / Game
25
14
EPA
EPA / Play
17
4
EPA / Pass
19
5
EPA / Rush
15
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
28
Interceptions / Game
13
9
Fumbles / Game
19
8
Turnover EPA / Game
23
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
5
4th Down Efficiency
6
8
RZ Efficiency
14
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U