TBBuccaneers
-
17
TBD
MetLife Stadium
82°F
9 mph
18
NYJJets
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
82°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
7
7
0
3
17
Jets
0
10
0
6
16
Spread
+4
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
250
304
Total Plays
59
73
Yards / Play
4.2
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.07
Passing Yards
185
214
Comp/Att
15/31(48%)
24/39(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.19
Rushing Yards
65
90
Rush Attempts
25
29
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
22
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
38%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.86
-9.45
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-25
-42
Sack EPA
-3.75
-12.51
Penalties
13
6
Penalty Yards
102
45
Penalty EPA
-14.24
-6.45
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model55.4%
Spread Pick
Jets+4.0
Expected Value
+14.6%
Cover Probability
58.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+27
Home nfelo
1,442
Away nfelo
1,515
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+16.5
Home QB Adjustment
+9.5
Away QB Adjustment
-7.0
Market Regression
-21.9
Final Difference
-37.6
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
J. Freeman
Proj. Value
-3.2
Team Elo Adj
-7.0
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+9.5
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
19
Yards / Game
32
11
Passing Yards / Game
27
27
Rushing Yards / Game
22
2
EPA
EPA / Play
27
16
EPA / Pass
26
25
EPA / Rush
24
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
6
Interceptions / Game
9
22
Fumbles / Game
17
32
Turnover EPA / Game
26
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
13
4th Down Efficiency
24
10
RZ Efficiency
22
4
Jets Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
21
Yards / Game
25
17
Passing Yards / Game
32
12
Rushing Yards / Game
6
15
EPA
EPA / Play
29
18
EPA / Pass
30
18
EPA / Rush
18
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
6
Interceptions / Game
28
4
Fumbles / Game
5
20
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
18
4th Down Efficiency
32
23
RZ Efficiency
26
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U