TBBuccaneers
4-2
16
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
023
DETLions
3-2
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
7
0
9
16
Lions
10
3
3
7
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
422
278
Total Plays
78
47
Yards / Play
5.4
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.11
Passing Yards
298
131
Comp/Att
37/46(80%)
16/20(80%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.32
+0.02
Rushing Yards
124
147
Rush Attempts
29
24
Yards / Rush
4.3
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
17
Passing 1st downs
18
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
57%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-12.81
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-18
-16
Sack EPA
-5.43
-3.42
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
60
23
Penalty EPA
-3.98
-5.27
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
32
Yards / Game
18
32
Passing Yards / Game
21
28
Rushing Yards / Game
13
23
EPA
EPA / Play
16
25
EPA / Pass
15
26
EPA / Rush
11
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
18
2
Turnover EPA / Game
28
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
30
4th Down Efficiency
25
30
RZ Efficiency
24
31
Lions Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
3
Yards / Game
19
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
6
Rushing Yards / Game
31
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
4
EPA / Pass
20
9
EPA / Rush
25
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
14
Interceptions / Game
30
18
Fumbles / Game
22
3
Turnover EPA / Game
4
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
20
4th Down Efficiency
21
24
RZ Efficiency
18
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U