TBBuccaneers
-
21
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
71°F
5 mph
16
NEPatriots
-
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
71°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
14
7
0
21
Patriots
3
1
0
6
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
296
278
Total Plays
61
67
Yards / Play
4.9
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.17
Passing Yards
95
190
Comp/Att
12/22(55%)
26/39(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.22
Rushing Yards
140
88
Rush Attempts
38
22
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.21
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
7
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
24%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.77
-2.90
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-11
-26
Sack EPA
-0.90
-8.41
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
25
33
Penalty EPA
-2.81
-1.57
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
17
Yards / Game
22
19
Passing Yards / Game
28
15
Rushing Yards / Game
9
20
EPA
EPA / Play
17
18
EPA / Pass
17
24
EPA / Rush
9
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
8
Interceptions / Game
4
29
Fumbles / Game
4
16
Turnover EPA / Game
27
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
28
4th Down Efficiency
24
31
RZ Efficiency
8
18
Patriots Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
8
Yards / Game
21
9
Passing Yards / Game
14
22
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
20
5
EPA / Pass
18
4
EPA / Rush
27
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
15
Interceptions / Game
10
5
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
7
4th Down Efficiency
12
22
RZ Efficiency
24
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U