ARICardinals
0-4
28
TBD
Levi's Stadium
79°F
15 mph
18
SF49ers
1-3
TBD
Levi's Stadium
79°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
7
0
8
22
49ers
6
0
0
12
18
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
220
447
Total Plays
49
95
Yards / Play
4.5
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.21
Passing Yards
164
300
Comp/Att
10/25(40%)
34/56(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.18
-0.11
Rushing Yards
56
147
Rush Attempts
23
35
Yards / Rush
2.4
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
33
Passing 1st downs
5
22
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
17%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
2
10
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
5
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-28.74
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-6
-49
Sack EPA
-0.82
-18.25
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
46
65
Penalty EPA
-4.75
-7.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model64.4%
Spread Pick
49ers-3.0
Expected Value
+7.0%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+144
Home nfelo
1,512
Away nfelo
1,371
Home Field
+31.5
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-28.4
Home QB Adjustment
-57.0
Away QB Adjustment
-28.6
Market Regression
-20.7
Final Difference
103.1
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Rosen
Proj. Value
-5.8
Team Elo Adj
-28.6
Value
Ptile
C. Beathard
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-57.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
28
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
28
20
Rushing Yards / Game
32
13
EPA
EPA / Play
32
26
EPA / Pass
32
28
EPA / Rush
30
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
9
Interceptions / Game
28
32
Fumbles / Game
22
26
Turnover EPA / Game
3
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
21
4th Down Efficiency
32
18
RZ Efficiency
8
26
49ers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
26
Yards / Game
14
21
Passing Yards / Game
16
14
Rushing Yards / Game
12
32
EPA
EPA / Play
21
14
EPA / Pass
20
12
EPA / Rush
28
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
4
Interceptions / Game
30
29
Fumbles / Game
25
15
Turnover EPA / Game
1
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
24
RZ Efficiency
32
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
49ers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U