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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ bears week 13, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ARI logo
ARICardinals
3-8
3
TBD
Soldier Field
51°F
12 mph
28
CHIBears
4-7
CHI logo
TBD
Soldier Field
51°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
0
0
0
3
Bears
7
0
0
21
28

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Bears logo
Total Yards
197
422
Total Plays
51
76
Yards / Play
3.9
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.38
+0.06
Passing Yards
151
268
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.43
+0.26
Rushing Yards
46
154
Rush Attempts
18
36
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.39
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Bears logo
1st Downs
9
25
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
2
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
31%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Bears logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.98
-3.64
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-12
-16
Sack EPA
-2.15
-3.22
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
15
--
Penalty EPA
-2.86
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Bears Defense
Cardinals logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
32
21
Yards / Game
26
14
Passing Yards / Game
16
5
Rushing Yards / Game
29
16

EPA

EPA / Play
32
20
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
31
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
4
Interceptions / Game
29
15
Fumbles / Game
19
32
Turnover EPA / Game
1
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
20
4th Down Efficiency
21
9
RZ Efficiency
30
16
Bears Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Bears logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
22
32
Yards / Game
28
26
Passing Yards / Game
14
19
Rushing Yards / Game
18
19

EPA

EPA / Play
24
30
EPA / Pass
31
32
EPA / Rush
8
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
4
Interceptions / Game
25
25
Fumbles / Game
9
14
Turnover EPA / Game
17
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
32
4th Down Efficiency
2
6
RZ Efficiency
18
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
-38
L
L
P
09/21
7
W
W
P
09/28
-24
L
L
P
10/05
-17
L
L
P
10/12
-8
L
L
P
10/26
3
W
W
P
11/02
3
W
W
P
11/09
-13
L
L
P
11/16
-38
L
L
P
11/23
-3
L
W
P
CHI logo

Bears

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
-11
L
L
P
09/29
-15
L
L
P
10/05
3
W
W
P
10/12
-7
L
L
P
10/19
-7
L
W
P
10/26
8
W
W
P
11/02
13
W
W
P
11/09
-2
L
L
P
11/16
-2
L
W
P
11/23
9
W
W
P