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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ commanders week 1, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ARI logo
ARICardinals
-
23
TBD
FedExField
76°F
5 mph
31
WASCommanders
-
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
76°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
10
3
3
7
23
Commanders
3
7
14
7
31

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
257
442
Total Plays
57
73
Yards / Play
4.5
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.13
Passing Yards
187
320
Comp/Att
14/36(39%)
28/40(70%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.18
Rushing Yards
70
122
Rush Attempts
20
32
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
31%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.32
-6.69
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
--
-7
Sack EPA
-0.36
-1.15
Penalties
1
7
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Commanders Defense
Cardinals logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
29
19
Yards / Game
27
4
Passing Yards / Game
22
16
Rushing Yards / Game
15
12

EPA

EPA / Play
22
6
EPA / Pass
26
6
EPA / Rush
21
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
12
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
21
9
Turnover EPA / Game
12
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
6
4th Down Efficiency
30
3
RZ Efficiency
11
2
Commanders Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Commanders logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
25
29
Yards / Game
21
29
Passing Yards / Game
18
32
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30

EPA

EPA / Play
26
30
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
17
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
10
Interceptions / Game
23
15
Fumbles / Game
25
30
Turnover EPA / Game
3
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
25
4th Down Efficiency
17
13
RZ Efficiency
6
24

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/04
-14
L
L
P
11/11
-7
L
L
P
11/18
7
W
W
P
11/25
3
W
W
P
12/02
3
W
W
P
12/09
-10
L
L
P
12/15
-4
L
W
P
12/23
7
W
W
P
12/30
23
W
W
P
01/06
-3
L
W
P
WAS logo

Commanders

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/28
14
W
W
P
11/04
13
W
W
P
11/18
7
W
W
P
11/25
10
W
W
P
12/02
-6
L
L
P
12/09
10
W
W
P
12/16
-14
L
L
P
12/23
-5
L
L
P
12/30
30
W
W
P
01/06
3
W
L
P