ARICardinals
7-4
21
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
46°F
4 mph
24
PHIEagles
6-5
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
46°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
7
7
21
Eagles
7
10
7
0
24
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
350
307
Total Plays
68
73
Yards / Play
5.1
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.03
Passing Yards
260
202
Comp/Att
24/41(59%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.10
Rushing Yards
90
105
Rush Attempts
22
34
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
23
Passing 1st downs
15
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.26
--
Sacks
5
5
Sack Yards
-42
-35
Sack EPA
-11.48
-7.36
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
55
48
Penalty EPA
-7.47
-4.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model68.3%
Spread Pick
Eagles-3.5
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+174
Home nfelo
1,583
Away nfelo
1,486
Home Field
+102.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-26.5
Home QB Adjustment
-9.6
Away QB Adjustment
+16.8
Market Regression
+8.6
Final Difference
133.5
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+16.8
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-9.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
18
Yards / Game
14
30
Passing Yards / Game
3
31
Rushing Yards / Game
24
13
EPA
EPA / Play
21
21
EPA / Pass
19
20
EPA / Rush
26
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
9
Interceptions / Game
28
6
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
4
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
24
4th Down Efficiency
12
11
RZ Efficiency
24
12
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
6
Yards / Game
2
6
Passing Yards / Game
4
18
Rushing Yards / Game
1
1
EPA
EPA / Play
4
2
EPA / Pass
5
4
EPA / Rush
2
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
18
Interceptions / Game
3
5
Fumbles / Game
12
16
Turnover EPA / Game
23
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
11
4th Down Efficiency
11
8
RZ Efficiency
13
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U