ARICardinals
2-0
31
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
81°F
4 mph
19
JAXJaguars
0-2
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
81°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
0
11
7
25
Jaguars
0
7
6
0
13
Spread
-8
Total
UNDER
51.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
407
361
Total Plays
64
66
Yards / Play
6.4
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.23
Passing Yards
--
202
Comp/Att
28/34(82%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.35
-0.38
Rushing Yards
91
159
Rush Attempts
30
29
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.5
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
20
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
11%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
1
2
3rd Down Attempts
9
11
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-3.97
-18.19
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
--
-7.73
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
58
40
Penalty EPA
-6.12
-4.45
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market76.2%
Model73.3%
Spread Pick
Jaguars+8.0
Expected Value
+10.1%
Cover Probability
55.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-132
Home nfelo
1,346
Away nfelo
1,504
Home Field
+58.7
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.5
Net QB Adjustment
-32.8
Home QB Adjustment
-15.8
Away QB Adjustment
+17.0
Market Regression
-0.8
Final Difference
-175.4
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+17.0
T. Lawrence
Proj. Value
-0.2
Team Elo Adj
-15.8
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
9
20
Passing Yards / Game
10
7
Rushing Yards / Game
14
22
EPA
EPA / Play
14
31
EPA / Pass
11
31
EPA / Rush
12
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
22
Interceptions / Game
10
30
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
24
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
25
4th Down Efficiency
10
30
RZ Efficiency
14
24
Jaguars Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
16
Yards / Game
27
12
Passing Yards / Game
16
10
Rushing Yards / Game
22
21
EPA
EPA / Play
29
9
EPA / Pass
27
15
EPA / Rush
21
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
15
Interceptions / Game
26
19
Fumbles / Game
28
2
Turnover EPA / Game
3
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
13
4th Down Efficiency
10
9
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jaguars
0-10
SU
4-6
ATS
4-5-1
O/U