ARICardinals
4-7
6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
46°F
6 mph
7
NYJJets
4-7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
46°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
0
3
6
Jets
0
0
0
7
7
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
137
289
Total Plays
54
74
Yards / Play
2.5
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.44
-0.32
Passing Yards
56
112
Comp/Att
10/31(32%)
15/28(54%)
Yards / Pass
1.8
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.70
-0.68
Rushing Yards
81
177
Rush Attempts
21
43
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
5
20
Passing 1st downs
2
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
0%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
--
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.41
-14.57
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-14
Sack EPA
-2.94
-4.99
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
--
20
Penalty EPA
--
-2.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+156
Home nfelo
1,443
Away nfelo
1,401
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+6.9
Home QB Adjustment
-10.3
Away QB Adjustment
-17.2
Market Regression
+42.4
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
R. Lindley
Proj. Value
-6.1
Team Elo Adj
-17.2
Value
Ptile
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-10.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
20
Yards / Game
32
6
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
32
26
EPA
EPA / Play
32
11
EPA / Pass
32
11
EPA / Rush
32
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
6
Interceptions / Game
32
23
Fumbles / Game
25
5
Turnover EPA / Game
6
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
12
4th Down Efficiency
22
31
RZ Efficiency
31
26
Jets Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
17
Yards / Game
30
11
Passing Yards / Game
27
15
Rushing Yards / Game
12
28
EPA
EPA / Play
30
2
EPA / Pass
30
2
EPA / Rush
15
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
1
Interceptions / Game
28
2
Fumbles / Game
28
12
Turnover EPA / Game
3
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
3
4th Down Efficiency
17
13
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U