ARICardinals
3-1
42
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
017
DETLions
0-4
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
28
7
7
42
Lions
7
0
0
10
17
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
345
435
Total Plays
45
89
Yards / Play
7.7
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.25
-0.22
Passing Yards
158
379
Comp/Att
12/18(67%)
41/70(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.37
-0.20
Rushing Yards
187
56
Rush Attempts
25
18
Yards / Rush
7.5
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.33
-0.40
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
29
Passing 1st downs
7
22
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
13%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
8
17
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
5
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
6
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-28.45
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-3.70
-0.56
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
70
85
Penalty EPA
-3.30
-8.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model60.6%
Spread Pick
Lions+4.5
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-26
Home nfelo
1,487
Away nfelo
1,557
Home Field
+61.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-17.4
Home QB Adjustment
+2.1
Away QB Adjustment
+19.5
Market Regression
-28.8
Final Difference
-74.9
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+19.5
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
23
Yards / Game
2
18
Passing Yards / Game
2
29
Rushing Yards / Game
12
20
EPA
EPA / Play
2
24
EPA / Pass
3
23
EPA / Rush
11
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
9
Interceptions / Game
23
26
Fumbles / Game
28
12
Turnover EPA / Game
11
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
24
4th Down Efficiency
6
26
RZ Efficiency
10
29
Lions Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
13
Yards / Game
18
7
Passing Yards / Game
9
27
Rushing Yards / Game
31
8
EPA
EPA / Play
15
11
EPA / Pass
16
8
EPA / Rush
19
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
27
Interceptions / Game
17
4
Fumbles / Game
11
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
12
4th Down Efficiency
15
12
RZ Efficiency
2
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Lions
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U