ARICardinals
11-5
16
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
51°F
6 mph
27
CARPanthers
7-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
51°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
14
0
0
14
Panthers
10
3
14
0
27
Spread
-5.5
Total
OVER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
78
386
Total Plays
47
74
Yards / Play
1.7
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.58
-0.24
Passing Yards
51
198
Comp/Att
16/28(57%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
1.8
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.60
-0.38
Rushing Yards
27
188
Rush Attempts
15
41
Yards / Rush
1.8
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
25
Passing 1st downs
5
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
25%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-11.01
-12.96
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-31
--
Sack EPA
-5.95
-6.43
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
--
80
Penalty EPA
--
-6.25
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model68.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+104
Home nfelo
1,428
Away nfelo
1,524
Home Field
+40.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+151.2
Home QB Adjustment
+43.8
Away QB Adjustment
-107.4
Market Regression
+14.9
Final Difference
130.9
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
R. Lindley
Proj. Value
-6.1
Team Elo Adj
-107.4
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+43.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
20
Yards / Game
28
6
Passing Yards / Game
28
19
Rushing Yards / Game
31
11
EPA
EPA / Play
26
16
EPA / Pass
20
14
EPA / Rush
31
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
14
Interceptions / Game
13
15
Fumbles / Game
5
4
Turnover EPA / Game
19
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
21
4th Down Efficiency
1
14
RZ Efficiency
28
29
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
5
Yards / Game
15
25
Passing Yards / Game
20
26
Rushing Yards / Game
7
17
EPA
EPA / Play
17
3
EPA / Pass
19
6
EPA / Rush
11
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
22
Interceptions / Game
14
9
Fumbles / Game
14
24
Turnover EPA / Game
12
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
8
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U