ARICardinals
4-1
24
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
69°F
6 mph
13
OAKRaiders
0-5
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
69°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
7
7
3
24
Raiders
0
10
3
0
13
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
365
220
Total Plays
69
48
Yards / Play
5.3
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.10
Passing Yards
242
164
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
16/28(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.11
Rushing Yards
123
56
Rush Attempts
37
19
Yards / Rush
3.3
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
13
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
60%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.16
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-11
-9
Sack EPA
-1.92
-1.96
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
43
74
Penalty EPA
-4.10
-6.66
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-97
Home nfelo
1,376
Away nfelo
1,520
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-15.7
Home QB Adjustment
+7.3
Away QB Adjustment
+23.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+23.0
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
32
Yards / Game
28
20
Passing Yards / Game
28
10
Rushing Yards / Game
31
22
EPA
EPA / Play
26
25
EPA / Pass
20
27
EPA / Rush
31
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
26
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
5
30
Turnover EPA / Game
19
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
14
4th Down Efficiency
1
13
RZ Efficiency
28
16
Raiders Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
5
Yards / Game
32
25
Passing Yards / Game
29
26
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17
EPA
EPA / Play
32
3
EPA / Pass
31
6
EPA / Rush
32
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
22
Interceptions / Game
19
9
Fumbles / Game
28
24
Turnover EPA / Game
3
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
8
4th Down Efficiency
3
5
RZ Efficiency
1
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Raiders
0-10
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U