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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ rams week 2, 2018

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ARI logo
ARICardinals
0-1
0
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
86°F
2 mph
34
LARRams
1-0
LAR logo
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
86°F
2 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
0
0
Rams
0
19
8
7
34

Spread

LAR logo
-13

Total

UNDER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
137
438
Total Plays
43
70
Yards / Play
3.2
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.58
+0.17
Passing Yards
83
344
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
24/33(73%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
10.4
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.48
Rushing Yards
54
94
Rush Attempts
15
35
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
5
24
Passing 1st downs
4
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
NaN%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
--
6
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.01
-2.81
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-7
-12
Sack EPA
-1.97
-2.79
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
47
49
Penalty EPA
-6.02
-2.37

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-13.0
Model
-11.5

Win Probability

Market84.9%
Model82.7%
Spread Pick
ARI logo
Cardinals+13.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+0.3%
Cover Probability
51.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+135
Home nfelo
1,572
Away nfelo
1,453
Home Field
+21.2
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-4.7
Home QB Adjustment
+7.5
Away QB Adjustment
+12.3
Market Regression
+59.3
Final Difference
271.7
Model Spread
-11.5

Quarterbacks

S. Bradford headshot

S. Bradford

Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+12.3
Value
Ptile
11/20
-0.6
44
11/24
1.0
56
12/01
1.0
56
12/11
5.5
85
12/18
-2.3
32
12/24
6.2
87
01/01
7.0
90
09/11
8.9
96
10/09
-10.7
2
09/09
-5.3
16
J. Goff headshot

J. Goff

Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+7.5
Value
Ptile
11/05
8.0
94
11/12
5.3
85
11/19
-1.0
45
11/26
0.9
59
12/03
1.0
60
12/10
0.9
59
12/17
-2.9
32
12/24
5.6
87
01/06
-2.9
33
09/10
0.3
49

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Cardinals logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
32
18
Yards / Game
32
20
Passing Yards / Game
28
15
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17

EPA

EPA / Play
32
17
EPA / Pass
32
10
EPA / Rush
30
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
26
Interceptions / Game
28
5
Fumbles / Game
22
6
Turnover EPA / Game
3
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
6
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
8
15
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Rams logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
2
26
Yards / Game
3
21
Passing Yards / Game
9
14
Rushing Yards / Game
3
32

EPA

EPA / Play
3
14
EPA / Pass
5
12
EPA / Rush
3
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
12
29
Fumbles / Game
6
15
Turnover EPA / Game
28
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
24
RZ Efficiency
19
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/05
10
W
W
U
11/09
-6
L
P
U
11/19
-10
L
L
O
11/26
3
W
W
O
12/03
-16
L
L
O
12/10
5
W
W
U
12/17
-5
L
L
U
12/24
23
W
W
U
12/31
2
W
W
O
09/09
-18
L
L
U
LAR logo

Rams

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/12
26
W
W
U
11/19
-17
L
L
U
11/26
6
W
W
U
12/03
16
W
W
O
12/10
-8
L
L
O
12/17
35
W
W
O
12/24
4
W
L
O
12/31
-21
L
L
O
01/06
-13
L
L
U
09/10
20
W
W
U