ARICardinals
0-1
0
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
86°F
2 mph
34
LARRams
1-0
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
86°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
0
0
Rams
0
19
8
7
34
Spread
-13
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
137
438
Total Plays
43
70
Yards / Play
3.2
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.58
+0.17
Passing Yards
83
344
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
24/33(73%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
10.4
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.48
Rushing Yards
54
94
Rush Attempts
15
35
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
5
24
Passing 1st downs
4
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
NaN%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
--
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.01
-2.81
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-7
-12
Sack EPA
-1.97
-2.79
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
47
49
Penalty EPA
-6.02
-2.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-13.0
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model82.7%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+13.0
Expected Value
+0.3%
Cover Probability
51.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+134
Home nfelo
1,573
Away nfelo
1,455
Home Field
+20.9
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
-25.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-4.7
Home QB Adjustment
+7.5
Away QB Adjustment
+12.3
Market Regression
+59.4
Final Difference
271.5
Model Spread
-11.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+12.3
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+7.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
18
Yards / Game
32
20
Passing Yards / Game
28
15
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17
EPA
EPA / Play
32
17
EPA / Pass
32
10
EPA / Rush
30
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
26
Interceptions / Game
28
5
Fumbles / Game
22
6
Turnover EPA / Game
3
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
6
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
8
15
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
26
Yards / Game
3
21
Passing Yards / Game
9
14
Rushing Yards / Game
3
32
EPA
EPA / Play
3
14
EPA / Pass
5
12
EPA / Rush
3
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
12
29
Fumbles / Game
6
15
Turnover EPA / Game
28
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
24
RZ Efficiency
19
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U