ARICardinals
1-4
9
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
026
LARRams
2-3
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
6
0
0
9
Rams
3
3
10
10
26
Spread
-7.5
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
345
382
Total Plays
73
55
Yards / Play
4.7
6.9
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.07
Passing Yards
215
203
Comp/Att
21/41(51%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.43
+0.14
Rushing Yards
130
179
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
4.3
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-5.49
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-20
-23
Sack EPA
-8.76
-5.22
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
36
59
Penalty EPA
-5.37
-6.00
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model74.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+140
Home nfelo
1,484
Away nfelo
1,392
Home Field
+38.8
Base HFA
+43.1
Divisional Adj
-19.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+9.5
Home QB Adjustment
+1.8
Away QB Adjustment
-7.7
Market Regression
+69.3
Final Difference
185.3
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
R. Dobbs
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-7.7
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+1.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
18
Yards / Game
19
18
Passing Yards / Game
24
29
Rushing Yards / Game
3
13
EPA
EPA / Play
18
21
EPA / Pass
27
19
EPA / Rush
2
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
26
Interceptions / Game
15
24
Fumbles / Game
10
30
Turnover EPA / Game
20
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
16
4th Down Efficiency
28
24
RZ Efficiency
5
20
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
7
25
Passing Yards / Game
12
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
32
EPA
EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
7
31
EPA / Rush
8
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
16
Interceptions / Game
18
19
Fumbles / Game
3
31
Turnover EPA / Game
23
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
32
4th Down Efficiency
5
8
RZ Efficiency
8
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
3-7
O/U