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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ rams week 10, 2022

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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ARI logo
ARICardinals
3-6
27
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0
17
LARRams
3-5
LAR logo
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
14
0
10
27
Rams
3
0
7
7
17

Spread

ARI logo
+3

Total

OVER
38

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
298
256
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
4.6
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.25
Passing Yards
220
190
Comp/Att
26/37(70%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.08
-0.35
Rushing Yards
78
66
Rush Attempts
26
20
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
33%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-12.83
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-18
-19
Sack EPA
-3.95
-8.06
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
67
29
Penalty EPA
-5.37
-3.97

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+42
Home nfelo
1,531
Away nfelo
1,444
Home Field
+35.4
Base HFA
+39.4
Divisional Adj
-17.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-81.0
Home QB Adjustment
-132.6
Away QB Adjustment
-51.6
Market Regression
+22.8
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

D. McCoy headshot

D. McCoy

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-51.6
Value
Ptile
12/07
-10.0
3
12/14
-3.2
29
11/22
-3.4
25
12/03
-6.3
12
10/06
-1.7
41
12/06
-8.0
6
12/20
-2.8
25
11/07
2.4
71
11/14
-9.6
5
11/21
7.3
92
J. Wolford headshot

J. Wolford

Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-132.6
Value
Ptile
01/03
-2.3
28
01/09
-7.6
7

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Cardinals logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
21
20
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
22
13

EPA

EPA / Play
30
19
EPA / Pass
28
26
EPA / Rush
15
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
3
Interceptions / Game
28
7
Fumbles / Game
7
30
Turnover EPA / Game
9
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
21
4th Down Efficiency
24
31
RZ Efficiency
11
1
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Rams logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
27
31
Yards / Game
32
21
Passing Yards / Game
26
4
Rushing Yards / Game
26
14

EPA

EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
27
22
EPA / Rush
19
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
10
Interceptions / Game
22
22
Fumbles / Game
11
10
Turnover EPA / Game
4
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
27
4th Down Efficiency
1
15
RZ Efficiency
14
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/17
-23
L
L
U
09/11
-23
L
L
O
09/18
6
W
W
O
09/25
-8
L
L
U
10/02
10
W
W
U
10/09
-3
L
W
U
10/16
-10
L
L
U
10/20
8
W
W
O
10/30
-8
L
L
O
11/06
-10
L
L
O
LAR logo

Rams

5-5
SU
2-7-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/30
3
W
L
U
02/13
3
W
L
U
09/08
-21
L
L
U
09/18
4
W
L
O
09/25
8
W
W
U
10/03
-15
L
L
U
10/09
-12
L
L
U
10/16
14
W
W
U
10/30
-17
L
L
O
11/06
-3
L
P
U