ARICardinals
6-8
44
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
59°F
06
LARRams
4-11
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
59°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
13
14
8
38
Rams
0
6
0
0
6
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
344
123
Total Plays
67
57
Yards / Play
5.1
2.2
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.80
Passing Yards
260
71
Comp/Att
22/42(52%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
2.5
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-1.38
Rushing Yards
84
52
Rush Attempts
24
22
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
9
Passing 1st downs
15
5
Rushing 1st downs
3
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
29%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
60%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.79
-21.22
Sacks
1
7
Sack Yards
-3
-72
Sack EPA
-0.16
-15.48
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
51
61
Penalty EPA
-4.76
-8.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-189
Home nfelo
1,346
Away nfelo
1,553
Home Field
+31.4
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.6
Home QB Adjustment
-11.4
Away QB Adjustment
+2.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-174.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+2.1
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
-11.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
22
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
5
13
Rushing Yards / Game
17
16
EPA
EPA / Play
20
17
EPA / Pass
21
18
EPA / Rush
20
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
2
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
29
20
Turnover EPA / Game
7
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
10
4th Down Efficiency
14
32
RZ Efficiency
5
31
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
14
Yards / Game
32
2
Passing Yards / Game
23
18
Rushing Yards / Game
31
9
EPA
EPA / Play
32
2
EPA / Pass
32
3
EPA / Rush
31
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
7
Interceptions / Game
30
14
Fumbles / Game
16
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
14
4th Down Efficiency
28
13
RZ Efficiency
24
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-5-1
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Rams
1-9
SU
1-8-1
ATS
4-6
O/U