ARICardinals
5-9
24
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
62°F
031
LARRams
8-7
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
62°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
3
7
7
24
Rams
3
14
0
14
31
Spread
7
P
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
393
424
Total Plays
61
79
Yards / Play
6.4
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.09
Passing Yards
322
311
Comp/Att
27/43(63%)
29/45(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.17
+0.33
Rushing Yards
71
113
Rush Attempts
17
33
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.52
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
25
Passing 1st downs
13
17
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
50%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
5
11
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-17.27
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-3
-8
Sack EPA
-1.27
-1.36
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
63
91
Penalty EPA
-9.42
-4.89
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+198
Home nfelo
1,578
Away nfelo
1,398
Home Field
+25.1
Base HFA
+45.6
Divisional Adj
-20.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-7.4
Home QB Adjustment
+7.6
Away QB Adjustment
+14.9
Market Regression
+14.6
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+14.9
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+7.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
17
Yards / Game
22
14
Passing Yards / Game
22
19
Rushing Yards / Game
10
18
EPA
EPA / Play
17
10
EPA / Pass
19
12
EPA / Rush
5
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
32
Interceptions / Game
16
13
Fumbles / Game
4
12
Turnover EPA / Game
25
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
17
4th Down Efficiency
2
25
RZ Efficiency
30
30
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
6
32
Passing Yards / Game
26
32
Rushing Yards / Game
26
23
EPA
EPA / Play
15
28
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
28
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
6
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
10
14
Turnover EPA / Game
8
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
30
4th Down Efficiency
31
1
RZ Efficiency
6
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U