ARICardinals
2-3
9
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
019
SEASeahawks
2-3
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
0
0
0
3
Seahawks
3
6
3
7
19
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
50
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
315
296
Total Plays
71
66
Yards / Play
4.4
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.26
-0.14
Passing Yards
171
160
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.32
-0.20
Rushing Yards
144
136
Rush Attempts
28
30
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.40
-4.79
Sacks
6
5
Sack Yards
-51
-37
Sack EPA
-10.59
-7.81
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
53
--
Penalty EPA
-5.87
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-14
Home nfelo
1,417
Away nfelo
1,468
Home Field
+28.1
Base HFA
+39.0
Divisional Adj
-17.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
-7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+9.2
Home QB Adjustment
+15.5
Away QB Adjustment
+6.3
Market Regression
-13.4
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+6.3
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+15.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
22
28
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
22
30
EPA
EPA / Play
30
29
EPA / Pass
28
25
EPA / Rush
15
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
9
Interceptions / Game
28
16
Fumbles / Game
7
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
27
4th Down Efficiency
24
3
RZ Efficiency
11
23
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
8
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
14
EPA
EPA / Play
10
21
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
16
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
27
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
27
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U