nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ seahawks week 6, 2022

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

ARI logo
ARICardinals
2-3
9
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0
19
SEASeahawks
2-3
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
0
0
0
3
Seahawks
3
6
3
7
19

Spread

SEA logo
+2.5

Total

UNDER
50

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
315
296
Total Plays
71
66
Yards / Play
4.4
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.26
-0.14
Passing Yards
171
160
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.32
-0.20
Rushing Yards
144
136
Rush Attempts
28
30
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.40
-4.79
Sacks
6
5
Sack Yards
-51
-37
Sack EPA
-10.59
-7.81
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
53
--
Penalty EPA
-5.87
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-13
Home nfelo
1,416
Away nfelo
1,466
Home Field
+28.0
Base HFA
+39.0
Divisional Adj
-17.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
-7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+9.2
Home QB Adjustment
+15.5
Away QB Adjustment
+6.3
Market Regression
-13.4
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5

Quarterbacks

K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+6.3
Value
Ptile
12/19
-5.3
18
12/25
7.3
92
01/02
7.8
93
01/09
-0.3
51
01/17
-8.2
7
09/11
0.9
58
09/18
2.9
75
09/25
2.1
68
10/02
3.5
78
10/09
3.5
79
E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+15.5
Value
Ptile
10/23
-4.5
17
12/03
-2.3
36
10/17
-2.7
33
10/25
-5.2
18
10/31
1.2
61
09/12
3.1
76
09/18
-2.0
37
09/25
2.3
70
10/02
11.2
98
10/09
4.1
81

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
22
28
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
22
30

EPA

EPA / Play
30
29
EPA / Pass
28
25
EPA / Rush
15
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
9
Interceptions / Game
28
16
Fumbles / Game
7
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
27
4th Down Efficiency
24
3
RZ Efficiency
11
23
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
8
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
14

EPA

EPA / Play
10
21
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
16
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
27
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
27
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/19
-18
L
L
U
12/25
-6
L
L
U
01/02
3
W
W
U
01/09
-8
L
L
O
01/17
-23
L
L
U
09/11
-23
L
L
O
09/18
6
W
W
O
09/25
-8
L
L
U
10/02
10
W
W
U
10/09
-3
L
W
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/12
20
W
W
O
12/21
-10
L
L
U
12/26
-1
L
L
O
01/02
22
W
W
O
01/09
8
W
W
O
09/12
1
W
W
U
09/18
-20
L
L
U
09/25
-4
L
L
O
10/02
3
W
W
O
10/09
-7
L
L
O